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The UK’s Green Deal: a modelled case study impact review (5B-135-13)

Vicky Ingram, Heriot Watt University, United Kingdom
David Jenkins, Heriot Watt University, United Kingdom

This is a peer-reviewed paper.

Keywords

energy assessment, energy policy, energy efficiency action plans, energy efficiency policy, Green Deal

Abstract

The UK Government’s most recent policy to combat rising carbon emissions is the Green Deal: aiming to reduce emissions from the existing building stock by providing loans to homeowners for energy efficiency improvements. The cost of the loan is paid back through electricity bills, and is related to the savings predicted for the chosen measure(s). The loan stays with the home, rather than the owner, so measures with a long payback are not prohibited providing they comply with the ‘Golden Rule’: payback must be less than the modelled savings. The savings are calculated using the Reduced data Standard Assessment Procedure (RdSAP), the accredited tool for Green Deal assessments and Energy Performance Certificate calculations. While an updated version of the RdSAP tool will be used for Green Deal calculations (using occupancy-related “in-use” factors to adjust estimated bill savings), there are still serious concerns around the ability of such a method to predict savings with enough accuracy to approximate regular monthly loan repayments that are less than real savings.

This paper applies Green Deal assessments to a number of case study dwellings that each has unique challenges to overcome in an effort to improve their energy performance. These challenges include the presence of solid walls and listed building status (restricting what work can be undertaken), though some case studies will be less hard-to-treat. The sensitivity of the calculation method is investigated to gain further understanding into the likely impact of the policy, and the validity of using the RdSAP method to estimate the savings will be assessed. Additionally, based on the findings, the problem of making the scheme attractive to both householder and loan provider will be discussed.


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Panels of the eceee 2013 Summer Study:

Panel 1. Foundations of future energy policy

Panel 2. Energy efficiency policies: What delivers?

Panel 3. Local action and national examples

Panel 4. Transport and mobility: How to deliver energy efficiency

Panel 5B. Cutting the energy use of buildings: Policy and programmes

Panel 6. Appliances, product policy and ICT

Panel 7. Monitoring and evaluation

Panel 8. Dynamics of consumption

Panel 5A. Cutting the energy use of buildings: Projects and technologies


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